Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Gavin Newsom formally announces his candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a definitive public statement confirming he is running for President.

The announcement must occur before 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027. If no such formal announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to NO. Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, Politico, The New York Times) will be used to verify the announcement.

Background

Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, is frequently discussed as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination in future presidential election cycles. He has consistently denied current plans to run for President, emphasizing his focus on his role as Governor. This market tracks whether he shifts from these public denials to a formal campaign launch ahead of the 2028 election cycle.