Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2026?
17
Ṁ1kṀ10kresolved Oct 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point before the end of 2026, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves YES.
Otherwise, it resolves NO.
If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ494 | |
| 2 | Ṁ196 | |
| 3 | Ṁ181 | |
| 4 | Ṁ117 | |
| 5 | Ṁ44 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
99% chance
Will I be a trillionaire by 2100?
12% chance
Will there be a trillionaire not named Elon Musk by end of 2027?
14% chance
How many trillion dollar companies will there be at the end of 2026?
14.1
Who will be the second trillionaire?
Will the United States have the most Billionaires at the end of 2034?
86% chance
Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?
How many trillion dollar companies will there be at the end of 2027?
16.4
Will there be an 18 year old [or younger] self-made billionaire (in 2023 dollars) by 2030?
32% chance
Will I become a billionaire before 2053?
16% chance