Who will be the first half-trillionaire?
Plus
62
Ṁ22k2026
88%
Elon Musk
6%
2%
Sam Altman
1.1%
Mark Zuckerberg
1.1%
Larry Ellison
Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves to that person.
If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the first trillionaire?
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
65% chance
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Who will be the first trillionaire?
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?
72% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
49% chance
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
62% chance
Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?
64% chance
When will there be a 'Half Trillionaire'?