Who will be the first half-trillionaire?
73
1.4kṀ40kresolved Oct 2
100%99.3%
Elon Musk
0.1%
Bernard Arnault
0.2%
Sam Altman
0.0%
Jensen Huang
0.1%
Jeff Bezos
0.1%
Mark Zuckerberg
0.1%
Larry Ellison
0.1%Other
Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves to that person.
If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,130 | |
| 2 | Ṁ963 | |
| 3 | Ṁ525 | |
| 4 | Ṁ493 | |
| 5 | Ṁ405 |
People are also trading
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?
Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?
74% chance
When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?
Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?
World's first trillionaire named Time Person of the Year within two years?
31% chance
In what year will the first person surpass a net worth of $1 trillion USD?
Will I be a trillionaire by 2100?
12% chance
Will the first human to reach 150 years of age be a billionare?
17% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?
Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?
74% chance
When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?
Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?
World's first trillionaire named Time Person of the Year within two years?
31% chance
In what year will the first person surpass a net worth of $1 trillion USD?
Will I be a trillionaire by 2100?
12% chance
Will the first human to reach 150 years of age be a billionare?
17% chance