MANIFOLD

Who will be the first half-trillionaire?

Ṁ1.4kṀ40k

resolved Oct 2

100%99.3%

Elon Musk

0.1%

Bernard Arnault

0.2%

Sam Altman

0.0%

Jensen Huang

0.1%

Jeff Bezos

0.1%

Mark Zuckerberg

0.1%

Larry Ellison

0.1%Other

Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves to that person.

If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.

/Sketchy/will-there-be-a-halftrillionaire-by

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opened a Ṁ4,000 YES at 99.0% order

ping @Sketchy

CNBC reports elon is a half trillionaire based on XAI $200 billion round. Still not recalculated on Forbes.

bought Ṁ100 YES

elon is at $447B Sep 11, another $120 on Tesla would get there. and or a mix of xai and spacex valuation increases.

I think Zuck will be it

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