Who will be the first half-trillionaire?
65
1.4kṀ22k2026
75%
Elon Musk
12%
Mark Zuckerberg
7%
3%
Sam Altman
1.2%
Larry Ellison
1%
Jeff Bezos
Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves to that person.
If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will there be a 'Half Trillionaire'?
Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025?
30% chance
Will the world's first trillionaire be someone who as of market-creation was worth at least $10 billion?
71% chance
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?