[αΉ€10,000 PRIZE] πŸ† Who will be the Underdog Winner of Super Tuesday on Manifold? πŸ†
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Plus
34
αΉ€15k
resolved Mar 7
0.0%
0.1%
@NiciusBot [Ineligible]
0.1%
@nikki [ineligible]
0.2%
AlQuinn
0.9%Other

πŸ† TET 2024: Super Tuesday πŸ†

@ManifoldPolitics has generously agreed to sponsor a αΉ€10,000 prize for the Underdog Winner of Super Tuesday!

To qualify, your net worth must be under αΉ€50,0000 as of 3PM PST on March 5th. No alts allowed.

Predict who will be the Underdog Winner on the Super Tuesday Leaderboard after the dust has settled! Add any traders making their way up the rankings that aren't yet listed!

Rules

  • Market resolves 100% to the highest qualifying person on the Super Tuesday leaderboard at close

  • Market resolves the day after the event's conclusion, unless significant markets are still in contention, in which case they'll be briefly extended at my discretion. This one closes at 5PM PST on Wednesday, March 6th.

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αΉ€1,000
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@DanMan314

Not that it would've made a difference but does the leaderboard only count resolved markets? I can't tell if the unresolved profits from this market were counted: https://manifold.markets/Lion/super-tuesday-march-5th-mega-market

@DanielBets I believe unrealized profits count. in leagues and the main leaderboards they do

@DanielBets my understanding is also that unresolved markets count. Semiotic had big profits before the Vermont markets officially resolved.

πŸ† SUPER TUESDAY IS OVER πŸ†

Congratulations to our αΉ€10,000 prize winner, @houstonEuler!! He's also snagged himself 2nd place overall and will be one of the first people on the TET 2024 yearly leaderboard!

Shoutout to @DanielBets for a hard fought race to win the prize.

Check out other upcoming events:

/DanMan314/-tet-2024-who-will-win-the-state-of

/DanMan314/-tet-2024-who-will-win-the-oscars-r

@houstonEuler Very well done!

Any secrets to your success you'd like to share?

@houstonEuler Congratulations on kicking yourself out of Underdog status!

5 minutes left and @DanielBets has grabbed the lead from @houstonEuler!

bought αΉ€350 NO

@DanMan314 or HAS HE

@DanMan314 Never mind, it just updated again and @houstonEuler is back in the lead!

bought αΉ€250 YES

@DanMan314 I took the bait 😭

@Stralor IT WAS REAL I SWEAR

bought αΉ€600 YES

hahahahah

@DanMan314 Oof should've put a limit order in to sell my "no" shares while I had the chance!

DanielboughtαΉ€40 YES
bought αΉ€50 NO

@houstonEuler tough to keep up with your profits :)

@houstonEuler were you under 50k Net Worth yesterday?

You might wanna fix the H in "houstonEuler" to be lowercase β€” it doesn't currently link to houstonEuler's page at all.

Oops forgot to ping the creator (@Dan) and the question creator (@AmmonLam), since the H needs to be lowercase for it to link to "houstonEuler" successfully.

@PaintspotInfez nw y'all I took care of it

does @NiciusBot qualify for this one as well? the bot's net worth is below 50,000

@AmmonLam No. It's an alt of NiciusB.

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