Will SpaceX Achieve 120 Successful launches in 2024?
Resolves To All Successful Launches Of All Variants Of Launch Vehicles On The Official Flight Manifest Page.
Launches Must Occur During The Beginning of January 1st 2024 12am ET (5am UTC) - December 31st 11:59pm ET (4:59 am UTC)
LAUNCH COUNT
January: 10
February: 9
March: 13
April: 12
May: 14
June: 11
July: 5
August: 12
September: 9
October: 12
November: TBD
December: TBD
TOTAL: 107
NOTES:
CLARIFICATIONS:
1/06/2023: On the manifest you will see 3 colors: Green is Successful, Orange is Partial Failure, Red is Failure.
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100 Goal Market
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน227 | |
| 2 | แน115 | |
| 3 | แน81 | |
| 4 | แน68 | |
| 5 | แน66 |
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@DistinctlySkeptical
120 reached with 9-13 launch earlier today
115 F9 but one unsuccessful (286 through 400 with no 354 being the failure 12 July 2024)
2 Falcon heavy
4 Starship
Totals 121 launches 120 successful
@DistinctlySkeptical @Eliza
Please resolve, (or explain why not?)
Now 120 successful even excluding 4 starship launches.
@DistinctlySkeptical
My reconning is
110 Falcon9 launches but one unsuccessful (286 through 395 (no 354 failure))
2 Falcon Heavy
3 Starship
makes 115 launches but only 114 successful launches.
NASA delays next SpaceX crew launch due to ongoing Starliner problems
SpaceX's capsule has nowhere to dock.
@traders I made a new copy of this market since SirCryptomind didn't want to manage his markets anymore:
Will SpaceX Achieve 120 Successful Launches In 2024?YESโ
To confirm, this market does not require all launches to be successful right? Just 120 successes regardless of failure count.
Does success mean primary objective, or also secondary objectives? Eg would a case where payload is deployed but booster is unexpectedly lost count as a success?
@TheoSpears It will show on the manifest:
Green is Successful
Orange is Partial Failure
Red is Failure
Added
CLARIFICATIONS:
1/06/2023: On the manifest you will see 3 colors: Green is Successful, Orange is Partial Failure, Red is Failure.
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What is Manifold?
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Why use play money?People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?