California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025?
19
100Ṁ1592
Jul 18
1.4%
chance

This market predicts whether California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) provides real-time earthquake data, which will be used to resolve this market. USGS Earthquake Map

  • Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Geographic Scope Update:

    • Only earthquakes occurring within the official boundaries of the U.S. state of California will be considered.

    • Earthquakes in Baja California will not count.

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https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-89.97972,-73.125&extent=89.97921,433.125&range=search&map=false&search=%7B%22name%22:%22Search%20Results%22,%22params%22:%7B%22starttime%22:%222025-03-14%2000:00:00%22,%22endtime%22:%222025-07-21%2023:59:59%22,%22minmagnitude%22:6,%22orderby%22:%22time%22%7D%7D

@Singhling I don't see any. Resolve NO?

No baja doesn't count

bought Ṁ20 NO

Does Baja California count?

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