California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025?

19

Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k

resolved Oct 31

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market predicts whether California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) provides real-time earthquake data, which will be used to resolve this market. USGS Earthquake Map

Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Geographic Scope Update:
- Only earthquakes occurring within the official boundaries of the U.S. state of California will be considered.
- Earthquakes in Baja California will not count.

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https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-89.97972,-73.125&extent=89.97921,433.125&range=search&map=false&search=%7B%22name%22:%22Search%20Results%22,%22params%22:%7B%22starttime%22:%222025-03-14%2000:00:00%22,%22endtime%22:%222025-07-21%2023:59:59%22,%22minmagnitude%22:6,%22orderby%22:%22time%22%7D%7D

@Singhling I don't see any. Resolve NO?

@mods I believe this resolves NO. You can use this link to reproduce a corroborating search result. https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

No baja doesn't count

bought Ṁ20 NO

Does Baja California count?

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