Will a major earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater occur in the Pacific Ring of Fire before the end of 2025?
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2025
16%
chance

This question will resolve as YES if a major earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater occurs in the Pacific Ring of Fire before December 31, 2025, as reported by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) or a similar authoritative source.

The earthquake can occur in any country located in the Pacific Ring of Fire, which includes areas such as the coasts of Chile, Peru, Japan, and Indonesia. The magnitude of the earthquake must be confirmed to be 8.5 or greater by an authoritative source such as the USGS, and must occur within the specified timeframe.

Aftershocks or foreshocks associated with the earthquake will not count towards the question, only the initial earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater.

If no such earthquake occurs within the specified timeframe, the question will resolve as NO.

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