California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025?
9
100Ṁ322
Jul 18
14%
chance

This market predicts whether California will experience an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater by July 18, 2025. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) provides real-time earthquake data, which will be used to resolve this market. USGS Earthquake Map

  • Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Geographic Scope Update:

    • Only earthquakes occurring within the official boundaries of the U.S. state of California will be considered.

    • Earthquakes in Baja California will not count.

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No baja doesn't count

bought Ṁ20 NO

Does Baja California count?

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