What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?
What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?
7
685Ṁ2572031
87%
Executes a synchronized dance routine.
73%
Completes an agility obstacle course within a set time.
70%
Solves a Rubik's Cube in under 30 seconds.
68%
Shoots and scores from the free-throw line.
66%
Drives a car.
61%
Hits a dartboard bullseye.
55%
Performs CPR on a mannequin/human.
54%
Prepares a gourmet dish.
50%
Replicates a complex origami figure.
50%
Kill a human
46%
Plays a specific song on an instrument accurately after one listening.
46%
Assembles a furniture that hadn't seen, by reading the manual.
34%
Executes an Olympic-standard perfect dive.
The bots must be smart, humanoid, and execute the actions autonomously so that it would count.
You can add more skills. I'll resolve them N/A if they can't be resolved or if they don't reflect the purpose of this narket
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bought Ṁ20 Executes a synchroni... YES
The bots aren't smart and the dance is preprogrammed but definitely going to happen if we get smart bots:
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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