Choices resolve true if by the end of 2026 there is proof of a smart humanoid robot performing actions that require the skills below:

• Strength -> lifting at least 80 kg weights by arm strength

• Speed -> running up to spead of 20 km/h

• Dexterity -> highly dexterous tasks like assembling small components, stitching, or performing surgical tasks

• Emotional intelligence -> recognizing the emotions of the person in front even when unexpressed verbally, and adapting it's behavior / words accordingly (eg. Recognizing a person's anger from their face expression/angry action and adapt behavior accordingly)

• Reasoning -> solving complex puzzles that require both intellectual abilities and hands coordination (for example, moving puzzle pieces) which can be used to assess human cognitive abilities and for which the bot was not trained for

The choices above resolve true if there is at least one bot that can perform them (no need to perform all four of them).

The bot has to be both humanoid and smart (trained on Neural net and acting autonomously).

The sixth option resolves true only if there is a bot that can perform all other 5 tasks.

I may take the liberty to change the description to make it more specific based on the discussions that arise from the comments or to define the resolution criteria better.

I won't bet on this market