The Barbie film has been a huge success, already grossing $1.18 billion worldwide.

That makes it the second film of the year (after the Super Mario Bros Movie) to hit the Billon Dollar mark and Manifold users currently give it a higher than 80% chance of hitting $1.2 billion:

/SimonGrayson/will-barbie-gross-14-billion-worldw

Will it keep going and hit $1.5 billion to overtake Avengers: Age of Ultron, Frozen 2 and Top Gun: Maverick to 12th place in the all time highest grossing films list?

I will use this page at Box Office Mojo as the source. If the worldwide total hits $1.5 billion (unless there's some sort of obvious glitch on the site), this will resolve to YES. If we reach the end of the year and it hasn't hit that number, the market will resolve to NO.

Weekly progress (worldwide gross as reported by Box Office Mojo each week):

7th August - $1.030 billion

14th August - $1.184 billion

21st August - $1.279 billion

28th August - $1.340 billion

4th September - $1.381 billion

11th September - $1.403 billion

18th September - $1.417 billion

25th September - $1.427 billion

2nd October - $1.433 billion