The Barbie film has been a huge success, already grossing $1.43 billion worldwide.

It looked like $1.5 billion was on, but Manifold thinks that the film is going to fall a bit short of that number:

 as the source. If the worldwide total hits $1.45 billion (unless there's some sort of obvious glitch on the site), this will resolve to YES. If we reach the end of the year and it hasn't hit that number, the market will resolve to NO.

Weekly progress (worldwide gross as reported by Box Office Mojo each week):