How much will Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom gross in cinemas? (Worldwide)
23
1.2kṀ24k
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
YES
Over $200 million
Resolved
YES
Over $250 million
Resolved
YES
Over $350 million
Resolved
YES
Over $400 million
Resolved
YES
Over $300 million
Resolved
NO
Over $500 million
Resolved
NO
Over $450 million

Aquaman made over a billion dollars in 2018, but between the DCEU's struggles and the general lack of enthusiasm for superhero films, those days seem long gone.

The sequel, Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom comes out in the US, the UK and plenty of other international markets today.

Will the overall worldwide gross surpass the figures listed here?

Resolution notes

  • The options in this market are independent of one another. So if the film grosses $275 million, the options for $200 million and $250 million will both resolve at 100% and the options for $300 million and above will resolve at 0%

  • I will consider 30th June 2024 to be the cutoff for these markets. It's pretty unlikely that this release will stay in cinemas for anywhere near that long, and any re-release after that date won't count for this market

  • BoxOffficeMojo will be used as the source of truth for this market - whatever they define as this film's gross will be how the market is resovled. Unless there is an obvious mistake or typo that is about to be corrected, whatever BOM says goes!


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