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UK General Election 2024 - How many seats will the Conservative Party win?
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Ṁ1.8k
resolved May 30
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0-49
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One week into the general election campaign and the Tories remain pretty consistently 20 points behind Labour in the polling averages.

There's an expectation that the polls always tighten as we get closer to an election, but this isn't an iron law and it's possible that even a substantial tightening could still put them on a result that's worse than their 1997 landslide defeat:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-conservative-party-win-few

How many seats will they end up on?

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This was supposed to be a dependent market rather than an independent one.

Recreated here:

/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-2024-how-many-s