Context: https://manifold.markets/Simon1/will-i-finish-the-san-francisco-mar

Bet on how far I'll make it: https://manifold.markets/Simon1/how-far-will-i-make-it-in-the-sf-ma

I probably won't finish, but if I do, what will my time be? I have two marathons at 3:31 and 3:28 respectively, but plan to run significantly slower because I'm injured.