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What will my marathon time be at the SF marathon on 28 July?
Basic
9
แน1.8kresolved Jul 28
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%9%
4-5hr
66%
I won't finish
3%
<3hr
3%
3-4hr
7%
5-6hr
12%
I finish after the cutoff time
Context: https://manifold.markets/Simon1/will-i-finish-the-san-francisco-mar
Bet on how far I'll make it: https://manifold.markets/Simon1/how-far-will-i-make-it-in-the-sf-ma
I probably won't finish, but if I do, what will my time be? I have two marathons at 3:31 and 3:28 respectively, but plan to run significantly slower because I'm injured.
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