Context: https://manifold.markets/Simon1/will-i-finish-the-san-francisco-mar

Long version short: I have a knee injury that hasn't recovered. I did not sell my marathon tickets so I'm planning to at least show up and see how far I can make it. This question is about how far I'll make it.

I will use Strava to determine how far I got.

If you're betting for me finishing, check out the market for what time I'll get: https://manifold.markets/Simon1/what-will-my-marathon-time-be-at-th