Will the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?
Basic
6
Ṁ1452029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
26%
If Trump is elected
Resolved
N/AIf Harris is elected
Needs to be formally invoked
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
21% chance
Will the next President [Trump] be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
5% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
Will the next president be impeached?
36% chance
Will Trump declare Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
41% chance
Will the president during the 2024-2028 term be impeached by at least one body of congress during his term?
30% chance
Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
33% chance
Will any former or current US president openly support sedition before January 1st, 2030?
49% chance
Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
21% chance
Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
9% chance