Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ700Ṁ6.8k

Dec 31

ALL

20%

December 31

15%

November 30

October 31

All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.

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Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?

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Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

40% chance

If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?

If Trump invokes the Insurrection Act in his second term, will the military be directed against protestors?

92% chance

When will Trump be impeached by?

Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

52% chance

When will Trump be impeached next?

In what year will Trump be impeached AND removed from office?

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bought Ṁ38 NO

@GuyCohen several of these can resolve

bought Ṁ10 NO

@GuyCohen are you planning on adding more answers in later months?

(because I'd be happy to help subsidize that by trading on all of them lol)

bought Ṁ50 NO

@GuyCohen 21-23 resolve NO

bought Ṁ4 NO

seems too high tbh

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Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?

26% chance

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

40% chance

If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?

If Trump invokes the Insurrection Act in his second term, will the military be directed against protestors?

92% chance

When will Trump be impeached by?

Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

52% chance

When will Trump be impeached next?

In what year will Trump be impeached AND removed from office?

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