Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
14
250Ṁ10502100
66%
Alexei Kitaev
17%
Daniel Hillis
13%
Jamie Joyce
10%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10%
Daniel Sheehan
8%
Robin Hanson
7%
7%
Balaji Srinivasan
6%
Elon Musk
4%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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