Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
22
325Ṁ2039
2100
53%
Alexei Kitaev
39%
Jamie Joyce
34%
Daniel Sheehan
26%
Daniel Hillis
16%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
15%
Robin Hanson
9%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8%
Balaji Srinivasan
6%
Jack Dorsey
6%
Elon Musk
6%
Donald Trump
4%
John Preskill

Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.

Will resolve 'no' when they die.

Posthumously winning does not count for this market.

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you can't win a posthumous Nobel, they famously won't allow it

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