Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
35
375Ṁ25882100
99%
María Corina Machado
84%
Alexei Kitaev
34%
Jamie Joyce
29%
Daniel Sheehan
28%
Robin Hanson
26%
John Preskill
26%
Daniel Hillis
16%
Donald Trump
11%
10%
Jared Kushner
8%
Balaji Srinivasan
7%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
6%
Jack Dorsey
6%
Elon Musk
3%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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