
In which year will the civil war in Yemen end?
In which year will the civil war in Yemen end?
2
170Ṁ3742040
1%
2024
8%
2025
24%
2026-2027
19%
2028-2029
24%
2030-2034
24%
2035+
The war can end either by one side winning, or by coming to a stable ceasefire. Wikipedia will be used as the resolution source. In case of edit wars, resolution may be delayed.2
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion in Yemen against the Houthis in 2025?
19% chance
Will anyone in the leaked Houthi War chat be fired/resign by the end of April?
13% chance
When will the hostilities in Gaza end?
Will houthis 🇾🇪 escalate their activities again before EOY 2025?
89% chance
When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
Will the Houthis stop attacking ships in 2024?
3% chance
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict extend to Yemen in 2024 ?
8% chance
Which season will the Ukraine war end?
How will the war in Ukraine end?
When will the Ukraine war end?
POLL