Will the US win the war against the Houthis in a year? (Read description)

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resolved May 6

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Important: Since the war aim of the actions against the Houthis are restoring free passage of commercial ships the win condition for the US is here that Suez canal traffic returns to levels of pre-houthi threats.

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@WieDan

the win condition for the US is here that Suez canal traffic returns to levels of pre-houthi threats.

https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/c57c79bf612b4372b08a9c6ea9c97ef0

Should resolve NO, as Suez canal traffic has not returned to levels of pre-houthi threats. According to PortWatch, Suez Canal traffic is still ~60% of what it was pre-houthi threats, with Suez Canal trading volume being <50% of pre-houthi threat levels.