Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba? | Manifold

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Plus

15

Ṁ620

2032

1D

1W

1M

ALL

17%

Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

34%

Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Base rate market:

Resolves N/A for the party which is not elected. Resolves YES if most economic sanctions against Cuba are removed. Resolves YES even if a small subset of products remain controlled, or if specific individuals withing Cuba remain sanctioned.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Conditional markets

#Us-Cuba relations

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democrat resolves NA

Next presidential term or next president, even if they do it on their second term? I know it's nitpicky but it feels like something the president might try to pull off in the end of their 2nd term.

@DanMan314 I originally had the first term in mind, but next president until 2032 sounds more interesting. Would it be too late to change this now?

Edit: This seems entirely compatible with the way that I first phrased this, so I moved the close date to 2032

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Related questions

Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Will the USA lift the embargo on Cuba by Jan 1st 2032?

Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?

Sitting US president visits Cuban Government Leaders in Cuba before 2034

Will US citizens be allowed to travel to Cuba for tourism by the start of 2030?

Will Mark Cuban announce a campaign for president before the end of 2032?

What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Conditional on the next US President being Democrat, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Will any of the people mentioned in the market in the description become US President at some point in their life?

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