Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?
15
1kṀ620
2032
17%
Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?
34%
Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Base rate market:

Resolves N/A for the party which is not elected. Resolves YES if most economic sanctions against Cuba are removed. Resolves YES even if a small subset of products remain controlled, or if specific individuals withing Cuba remain sanctioned.

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