This market resolves to YES if, before March 24, 2030, there is a military coup attempt or self-coup attempt in the United States as defined by academic coup databases.

Resolution criteria:

• A military coup attempt is defined as an illegal, overt attempt by military officers to unseat the incumbent government

• A self-coup (autogolpe) is defined as an attempt by an elected leader to stay in power through illegal means, with military support

• The event must be classified as a coup attempt by at least two of the following: Cline Center Coup D'état Project, Powell & Thyne Coup Dataset, or other recognized academic coup databases

• Failed attempts count as long as they meet the definition criteria

Sources for resolution: Academic coup databases, statements from recognized political scientists specializing in coups, or consensus among major news outlets that an event constitutes a coup attempt.