Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) is abolished by December 31, 2030. Abolishment means the agency ceases to exist as a federal entity, whether through legislative action or executive order. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Department of Homeland Security, Congress, or credible news sources confirming the TSA's dissolution. The market resolves NO if the TSA continues to operate in any form through the end of 2030.

Background

In 2025, legislation was introduced to abolish the TSA in three years and direct the Department of Homeland Security to develop a reorganization plan. The proposed plan includes establishing an Office of Aviation Security Oversight within the Federal Aviation Administration and the rapid transfer of aviation security activities to qualified private screening companies. Senate Republicans introduced the "Abolish the TSA Act," which would privatize all the work of the agency, with a "rapid transfer of security activities and equipment to qualified private companies" within 90 days of enactment. The TSA was created in response to the safety lapses by airport security contractors that preceded the 9/11 terrorist attacks.

This description was generated by AI.