Will the current Israeli government last ~a full term?
20
1kṀ1882
2026
60%
chance

This resolves as Yes if the government does not declare intent to dissolve early before June 30, 2026. It resolves No if a declaration is made by 2026.06.30, with a dissolution date on or before 2026.07.31.

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Point of clarification: this market only requires that the government lasts at least that long. If it lasts significantly longer (e.g. if the next election is postponed by a year or more) this would still settle as yes.

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