
Will the current Israeli government last ~a full term?
18
closes 2026
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ31 +213.8%
New probability
33% +2%
This resolves as Yes if the government does not declare intent to dissolve early before June 30, 2026. It resolves No if a declaration is made by 2026.06.30, with a dissolution date on or before 2026.07.31.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Shaked Koplewitzbought Ṁ10 of YES
Point of clarification: this market only requires that the government lasts at least that long. If it lasts significantly longer (e.g. if the next election is postponed by a year or more) this would still settle as yes.
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0 YES payouts
Ṁ274
Ṁ256
Ṁ249
Ṁ18
0 NO payouts
Ṁ255
Ṁ180
Ṁ163
Ṁ125
Ṁ45
Ṁ36

















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