Major office= (federal) congress, governor, mayor of one of the 15 biggest cities, or winning at least one state in a presidential primary.

Explicitly racist or sexist = explicitly declares it. They have to say something like "yes I'm racist/sexist/believe in discrimination by race/sex" (can be either left or right). Outparty accusations don't count even if convincing (so Trump wouldn't count, nor would a democrat who supports AA but doesn't explicitly declare support for "reverse racism").

• Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided an example of what they consider to meet the explicitly racist criteria. They stated that politician Zohran Mamdani qualifies based on his statements and actions regarding Jewish and Hindu people. If a politician making similar statements is elected, the market will resolve to YES.

• Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarifies that qualifying statements must be generally considered beyond the pale.

Statements that reflect a general consensus (e.g., regarding sex-segregated sports) will not cause the market to resolve to YES. An example of a qualifying statement would be calling an entire sex or racial group "assholes".

• Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that this market will resolve to YES if politician Zohran Mamdani wins the general election. This is based on the creator's judgment that Mamdani's history of statements meet the market's 'explicitly racist' criteria.

• Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the following is a sufficient qualification for a YES resolution:

  • A politician leading a chant such as "Hindus are bastards".

The creator also stated that their judgment of a candidate's track record of antisemitism is considered decisive and they are not open to debating it further.