
Will the US have a female or gender non-conforming president by 2033?
57
1kṀ45402033
35%
chance
3
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They can be president for any length of time.
This market closes right after inaguration day 2033.
Update 2025-11-01 (PST): - Gender non-conforming applies only if the presentation is clearly intended to look strongly feminine. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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thanks!
follow-up question: how GNC does someone have to be for this to resolve YES? if Joe Biden habitually painted his nails glittery purple but otherwise presented exactly how he does today, would that count?
(I think no presidents we've actually had have been anywhere near an edge case, but still)
@tcheasdfjkl Notably, it has to be their normal presentation. A president getting drunk at a party and painting their nails one time doesn't count.
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