Will the United States elect a woman president by 2030?
➕
Plus
48
Ṁ2443
2030
35%
chance

This question will resolve positively if, at any point before January 1, 2030, a woman is elected and subsequently inaugurated as the President of the United States of America, or a vice president becomes president.

For the purposes of this question, "elected" means that a woman has won the majority of electoral votes in a U.S. presidential election, as officially certified by the U.S. Congress, and "inaugurated" means that she has officially taken the oath of office as prescribed by the U.S. Constitution.

The question will resolve negatively if no woman has been elected and inaugurated as President of the United States by the specified date.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 YES

Should at least trade in line with Kamala Harris odds of getting elected in 2024

To be clear, would this include a vice president becoming president?

@Laya Yes!

@Pandrypandry this would be the only way f this happening. The US is just not ready for this.

Wait, so "elected" doesn't mean only what you said in the description, it also includes assuming the office after the president is no longer able to do the job?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules