In a year, will I think Manifold has been a good use of my time? | Manifold Markets

closes Dec 29

Manifold Change My Mind

In a year, will I think Manifold has been a good use of my time?

53%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Close date updated to 2023-12-28 11:59 pm

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How much time (roughly) do you currently spend in the platform? I would expect a much higher Yes probability of you use it in moderation as opposed to spending away free moment on it.

Nico Dis predicting NO at 48%

@jonsimon Good question. Maybe an hour total everyday. Some days more.

Jon Simonbought Ṁ10 of NO

@NicoDelon Doesn't sound too bad then. Just don't start buying Mana with real money, that makes the regret probability much higher 😜

Nico Dis predicting NO at 48%

@jonsimon LOL no.

Nico Dis predicting NO at 45%

@NicoDelon FWIW it’s been over an hour daily recently—time off—and with increased use comes increased frustration with a few users.

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ31/Ṁ100 YES at 53% (cancelled)

Mackenzie Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO at 51%

Mackenzie Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 51%

Mackenzie Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 53% to 52%

Mackenzie Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 53%

Mackenzie Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 55% to 54%

Gabrielle bought Ṁ10 YES from 54% to 55%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 YES at 54% (cancelled)

James bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 53%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ21/Ṁ100 NO at 52% (cancelled)

Katja Grace bought Ṁ150 YES from 41% to 54%

fredrick slick bought Ṁ10 NO from 42% to 41%

Benjamin Herman bought Ṁ54 NO from 46% to 42%

Nihal M bought Ṁ10 YES from 45% to 46%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 45% (cancelled)

Derik K bought Ṁ50 NO from 48% to 44%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 NO at 48% (cancelled)

Katja Grace bought Ṁ95 YES from 39% to 50%

Dreamingpast sold Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 39%

Dreamingpast bought Ṁ10 YES from 39% to 41%

Nico D sold Ṁ32 NO from 37% to 39%

cos bought Ṁ10 NO from 38% to 37%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 38%

Jon Simon sold Ṁ7 YES from 40% to 39%

L bought Ṁ10 NO from 41% to 40%

anne bought Ṁ20 NO from 43% to 41%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 NO from 45% to 43%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ16 YES at 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ31/Ṁ100 YES at 42% (cancelled)

Cade Mataya bought Ṁ100 NO from 49% to 36%

Code & Solder bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 49%

Charlie bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 47%

chris kux bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 49%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 47% (cancelled)

Finn Hambly bought Ṁ25 NO from 51% to 46%

S G bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 51%

Jon Simon sold Ṁ0 YES at 49%

Jon Simon sold Ṁ0 YES at 49%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ4 NO at 49%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 50% (cancelled)

Jon Simon bought Ṁ10 YES from 48% to 51%

Jon Simon sold Ṁ10 NO from 46% to 48%

Jon Simon bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 46%

jcb sold Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 48%

Selueen bought Ṁ10 YES from 48% to 51%

jcb bought Ṁ10 YES from 45% to 48%

TesseractCat bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 48% (cancelled)

VivaLaPanda bought Ṁ10 YES from 45% to 49%

Fion bought Ṁ5 YES from 42% to 45%