Is the probability of AI-induced extinction greater than 1% in the next 200 years?
71
resolved Nov 26
Yes
No
Results/ I have absolutely no clue
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI cause human extinction before 2100 (and how)?
How much AI extinction risk would you accept?
15% chance
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?
5% chance
Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
25% chance
When (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?
Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?
14% chance
If AI causes human extinction before 2100, how will it happen
Will humans wipe out AI by 2030?
5% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000,000 people before 2040?
22% chance