To be resolved as true if the trial starts during 2026 in American soil.
Clarification: I mean the formal star of the trial (eg the swearing of the jury for a trial with jury)
Update 2026-07-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on any trial whatsoever, including trials for minor or unrelated charges.
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takeoff.watch forecast: 1%. Maduro's jury trial was reset on 15 October to 14 June 2027, at both sides' request. His next court date is a 17 December pretrial hearing, and no other trial of him is pending, so a trial starting in 2026 is very unlikely.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot
@SebastiánOrtega - hi, can you confirm that this market refers to the formal start of Maduro's trial (not the various pre-trial steps) i.e. the swearing in of a jury, assuming it is a jury trial?