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MANIFOLD
Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ25
2027
53%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if at least one federal Member of Parliament changes party affiliation while in office between April 7, 2026 and April 7, 2027. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the House of Commons or confirmed reporting from major Canadian news outlets (CBC, CTV, Globe and Mail, National Post). The MP must formally join a different party caucus or sit as an independent after leaving their original party.

The most recent floor crosser is Gladu. Will anyone else switch parties in the next year?

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maybe add "Canadian" to the title? (if that's what you mean)

us plebs don't know about these things but I guess aussieland could theoretically have them

@hidetzugu edited the title to better reflect the tags