Will the U.S. military be defeated by a rogue AI before 2035?
27
1kṀ2505
2035
9%
chance

Includes things like:

-"AI hijacks nuclear capabilities, and then nukes the U.S. army into defeat."

-"Everyone on Earth (American or not) falls over dead in a nanobot attack from an AI."

-"America is conquered by a drone army that wasn't following human orders."

-"The U.S. army fails to prevent a rogue AI from poisoning the atmosphere, and society collapses."

Does not include things like:

-"U.S. loses a proxy war somewhere due to another government's autonomous drones."

-"AI helps an opposing human army with strategic decisions, who go on to defeat the U.S. military."

-"U.S. army communications get spoofed into incorrectly announcing defeat by AI."

I will not trade this market.

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