In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world? | Manifold

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

183

2.5kṀ12k

2043

73%

chance

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Linked to the ACX post "Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know". If in 20 years, a brief review of the evidence convinces me that the sperm count decline was substantially real, I will resolve this YES. This is true even if the decline has stopped by 2043 (ie scientists then believe it was declining now, but is no longer declining at that time).

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Related questions

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?

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Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?

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