Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor? | Manifold

Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor?

44

311

Ṁ1.1K

2043

1D

1W

1M

ALL

50%

Plastics

10%

Pesticides

2%

Sunlight and circadian rhythm

31%

Diet and obesity

7%

Porn

Related ACX post Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know. I will go off of some combination of how sure scientists are that it matters, vs. how big scientists think the effect is.

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Will this be based on what the science actually suggests or based on what prominent scientists are willing to say in public? Think of the difference between those two on anything remotely touching race in the last few years, for example.

@connorwilliams97 That's a fair observation. We'll probably focus on the publicly expressed opinions, as we can't truly know what's going on in people's minds

Sedentary lifestyle?
Frequent masturbation (regardless of porn or not)?

I can't believe they're still allowed to put Pthalates in OTC pills

bought Ṁ25 of Porn

If it turns out that counts have been lower because of worse compliance with instructions to refrain from ejaculation in advance of sampling, would that be decline or not?

@JeffKaufman I bought some based on guessing yes, but less than I would have if I was sure it was a yes.

bought Ṁ5 of Pesticides

Should there be a "something else" option?

Related questions

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

In twenty years, the best evidence will suggest that sperm counts are substantially declining across most of the world

In 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the decline in testosterone levels over the past few decades?

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Will the world population decrease before 2035?

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

By the end of 2055, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children normally?

In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?

Related questions

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

In twenty years, the best evidence will suggest that sperm counts are substantially declining across most of the world

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

In 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the decline in testosterone levels over the past few decades?

By the end of 2055, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children normally?

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?

Will the world population decrease before 2035?

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?