
In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?
208
2.1kṀ56k2028
55%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as positive if an AI asked to write poetry in the style of Keats/Byron/Shelley etc can, on its first attempt, write a poem of at least two stanzas which I personally can't distinguish from the real thing. I am a fan of these poets and I think I would be pretty good at distinguishing them from imitators, including worse Romantic poets. The poem will need to use rhyme and rhythm correctly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will most critics think AI writes good poetry by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?
76% chance
A major poetry competition will explicitly ban AI-generated submissions before September 2025
90% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
76% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
64% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
14% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
59% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
45% chance
By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?
72% chance
Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?
60% chance