Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the S&P 500 Index (SPX) reaches or exceeds 8,000.00 at any point during regular trading hours in the calendar year 2026. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Source of Truth: The index value will be verified using official spot price data as tracked by Yahoo Finance (^GSPC) or Google Finance (.INX).

• Timing: The eligible window spans from January 1, 2026, through the close of the last trading session of the year on December 31, 2026.

• Scope: Only the spot price of the underlying index during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST) will qualify. Intraday trading highs and official closing values of 8,000.00 or higher both trigger a YES resolution. S&P 500 futures, derivative contracts, and pre-market/after-hours trading do not count.

Background

In early 2026, the S&P 500 has continued its upward trajectory, trading near 7,519 by late May 2026. This performance has been fueled by strong corporate earnings and robust economic indicators. In May 2026, Goldman Sachs raised its S&P 500 year-end target to 8,000, and Yardeni Research raised its target to 8,250, citing "fabulous earnings momentum" (FEMO). This market tracks whether the S&P 500 will hit or surpass the 8,000 milestone before 2027.

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