Will any LLM released in the next year double my coding productivity?
6
100Ṁ111
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if, on any day after July 20, 2024, I commit twice as much code as any day before that, while using an LLM released between July 20, 2024 and July 19, 2025.

I will not trade in this market. I will likely upgrade it to basic after the first next-generation LLM is actually released.

  • Update 2025-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market compares the best day before July 20, 2024 to the best day after July 20, 2024.

    • A YES resolution occurs if any day after July 20, 2024, using an LLM released between July 20, 2024 and July 19, 2025, results in committing twice as much code as the best day before July 20, 2024.

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