Will an LLM get > 50% on hard problems on LiveCodeBench Pro? | Manifold

Will an LLM get > 50% on hard problems on LiveCodeBench Pro?

6

1kṀ1760

in 7 hours

15%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

when does this resolve?

@alphazom jan 1, 2026

People are also trading

LLM Hallucination: Will an LLM score >90% on SimpleQA before 2026?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?

Will the GPT4+code-interpreter+search score > 1350 on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard?

Will an LLM get at least 80% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2?

Will an LLM get at least 70% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will an LLM beat me in a game of chess by the end of 2027?

Related questions

LLM Hallucination: Will an LLM score >90% on SimpleQA before 2026?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?

Will the GPT4+code-interpreter+search score > 1350 on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard?

Will an LLM get at least 80% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2?

Will an LLM get at least 70% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will an LLM beat me in a game of chess by the end of 2027?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy