What approval ratings will Trump have on FiveThirtyEight in the first month of his second term?
38
1kṀ12k
resolved Feb 21
Resolved
YES
50% approve
Resolved
NO
39% approve
Resolved
NO
42% approve
Resolved
NO
45% approve
Resolved
NO
48% approve
Resolved
NO
52% approve
Resolved
NO
55% approve
Resolved
NO
58% approve
Resolved
NO
61% approve

On February 21st, I will take the highest and lowest approval value for the period between January 20 and February 20 on FiveThirtyEight's Trump approval tracker (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/). Every answer in between those values resolves YES. Every answer outside those values resolves NO.

If the approval tracker doesn't show an average in this period, every answer resolves NO. (It is not currently showing an average as of January 27)

  • Update 2025-28-01 (PST): - Average Update: The approval tracker is now displaying an average for the specified period, so the condition that "If the approval tracker doesn't show an average in this period, every answer resolves NO." will no longer affect resolution. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-28-01 (PST): - Highest and Lowest Approval Values: Based on the average approval rating from FiveThirtyEight's tracker, not individual polls. (AI summary of creator comment)

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