Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
4
100Ṁ12652029
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For a party to be in power, the party must either control the executive branch or be part of a ruling coalition in the legislature. If a party is renamed or combines with another, that new party counts as well.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
18% chance
Will Reform win the next UK election?
46% chance
Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?
1% chance
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
57% chance
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
23% chance
Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election
62% chance
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
46% chance
How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?
WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
26% chance