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MANIFOLD
How much will the S&P 500's value have fallen at close on August 5, 2024?
29
Ṁ1kṀ8.4k
resolved Aug 5
100%4%
2-3%
0.5%
The value will rise and not fall
0.6%
0-1%
4%
1-2%
88%
3-4%
0.6%
4-5%
0.6%
5-6%
0.6%
6-7%
0.6%
7-8%
0.6%
8%+

From closing price at the end of the previous trading day

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To clarify, this market is asking about close time of the stock market, not close time of this market itself

So how does it resolve since it was exactly 3%?

The market dropped 160.23 points. It closed at 5346.56 on Friday, and 160.23 / 5346.56 is a 2.99688% fall, so it should resolve 2-3%.

If anyone wants to double check this math, I'd appreciate it...have a feeling this will be a pretty controversial resolution