China Blockades Taiwan Before...
18
Ṁ1kṀ2.1k2099
59%
2032
51%
2031
47%
2030
39%
2029
24%
2028
12%
2027
An attempted invasion of the mainland would count for the purpose of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
68% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2030)
41% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2035)
57% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2027
5% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?
24% chance
Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?
41% chance
[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
10% chance
WW3: Begins With Taiwan
41% chance
China invades Taiwan vs China lands on the Moon ; Before 2030
When will China invade Taiwan