Will Tianwen-3 successfully land on Mars?
4
41
Ṁ75Ṁ130
2035
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tianwen-3 is a dual launch mission comprising a combination orbiter and Earth return vehicle, and a combination lander ascent vehicle. Both are built by the China Academy of Space Technology (CAST) for CNSA, China's national space agency. The orbiter / return vehicle is planned to be launched in November of 2028, the lander is planned to be launched in May or December of 2028. For this market to resolve "Yes" the lander only, as part of the Tianwen-3 mission, needs to successfully land on Mars.
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