Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Plus
20
Ṁ8152027
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the US Supreme Court issues a ruling that involves either PredictIt, Inc. or Aristotle International, Inc. and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as opposing parties at any time before 2026.
Background: The US Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals issued an injunction barring the CFTC from shutting down PredictIt.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
78% chance
When will a major new policy on prediction markets be released by CFTC?
Will the CFTC finalize a rule that bans US election betting before Jan 20, 2025?
42% chance
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
58% chance
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
44% chance
Will PredictIt still be operating markets through Dec 2024?
69% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
50% chance
Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?
33% chance
If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
51% chance
Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?
26% chance