Will Manifold add tweet-like content to the feed before 2024?
91
686
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resolved Dec 13
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if Manifold modifies the homepage feed to include user-submitted short form content similar to that of Twitter at any time before the start of 2024.

Related conditional market: /SG/if-manifold-adds-a-twitterlike-feed

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repostedpredicted YES

Ur move Elon

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

Resolves YES @SG

I am seeing user-submitted short-form content similar to that of twitter in the homepage feed

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington yes it's a requirement that the content is centred around a market, but that a) makes sense and b) is pretty in-line with how some platforms require to you to post an image or a link along with your content.

One can always create a market with the explicit purpose of posting a comment about it to the feed. It's good that that is encouraged, as the site is about markets, if you want to discuss something, make a market too!

Looking forward to seeing the dynamics of this, I might actually use the home feed more now, and actually curate who I follow/deliberately follow people to improve it.

bought Ṁ200 of YES

Seems like it should count to me!

repostedbought Ṁ300 of YES

@Joshua Yes it's just a little buggy on mobile apparently

predicted YES

@Shump Not only on mobile

repostedbought Ṁ100 of YES

@Shump Seems pretty Tweety to me

repostedbought Ṁ100 of YES
predicted YES

Sorry this is a test that went wrong. I have no idea why it did this

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Is the repost with comment appearing on follower's feeds sufficient for this market?

repostedbought Ṁ100 of YES

Resolves YES if Manifold modifies the homepage feed to include user-submitted short form content similar to that of Twitter at any time before the start of 2024.

Resolves YES?

bought Ṁ100 YES from 51% to 54%

Buying yes to will it into existence

also this will cause daddy elon to add markets to X in rage, which means we win

a much better idea than our tik-tok-like content feed

bought Ṁ25 of YES

yeah no more of these weaksauce comment rating proposals
you poast, you bet.

each remarket requries either a bet against or for another statement, or the creation of another market + a limit order of at least 20 mana.
just like wsb's rule "positions or ban" this will create a flawless epistemic garden.

predicted YES

I still think there’s a missed opportunity to reintroduce tips, which could also could create a stronger economy for high quality “tweet” content.

Hmm, I think adding a feed is an interesting idea. Maybe it would replace the news tabs, since people would share news on it anyway, and then the staff wouldn't have to make those.

just imagine...

A feed first manifold where people "retweet" bets they make on a market. Either because it's a spicy prediction, or to brag about it months later when it comes true.

Market discoverability is solved because following friends and people who share your interests is emphasized and they "quote retweet" markets they think are interesting with hot takes and bait posts getting you to bet against/with them.

Random thoughts and predictions people have that aren't easy to operationalise can still be shared.

predicted YES

@DavidChee Definitely think more market-moving comments and/or bets could go here.

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