Will disconfirming evidence of the purported tomb of Genghis Kahn be discovered before the end of 2023?

980Ṁ11k

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

YES

ALL

Background: ARCHAEOLOGISTS UNEARTH TOMB OF GENGHIS KHAN

I will resolve YES if the plurality of academics in related fields (archaeologists, historians, etc.) appear to believe (at any point before the end of 2023) that the tomb in the recent discovery did not in fact belong the Genghis Kahn.

(I am a complete layman with no special expertise in this area and will probably be relying on popular articles to make this judgment. Feel free to post relevant materials below to sway my judgment.)

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If you Google Tomb of Genghis Khan you can see that there is already a consensus this is not it (by dint of the fact that there is a consensus it has not been found - the original link is broken so I'm not clear what exact discovery this market refers to)

predictedYES

@SG

The linked article is pretty questionable. The image on the page appears on the internet as early as 2013 and is described by the earlier (and more credible) pages as a Sarmatian burial chamber, nothing to do with Genghis Khan. I couldn't find anything credible about a new discovery, but I didn't look too hard. I suspect this is a similar situation to Alexander's tomb where every couple years someone claims to have found it and then it eventually amounts to nothing.

Heard third-hand rumors from a smart friend who works adjacent to anthropology that the tomb was actually discovered in 2016 by the Mongolian government and kept secret to prevent despoliation. Make of that what you will.

@SG How do you plan to resolve if there is no particular disconfirming evidence, but the plurality of academics still believe it's not Genghis Khan? (i.e. if nobody takes this discovery seriously)