
Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
49
1.6kṀ15k2030
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"MDMA-like" refers to behavioral effects, rather than chemical similarity. I can see a world where both "nontoxic" and "MDMA-like" become disputed criteria. Since I don't know much about pharmacology (or recreational drug use, lol), I may defer to a random selection of people I know to help resolve this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?
47% chance
Will MDMA-assisted therapy for PTSD be approved by the FDA before 2030?
74% chance
Will XTC/MDMA be legalized anywhere in the world before 2035
82% chance
Will a majority of states legalize psychedelics by 2033?
18% chance
Will any two of marijuana, MDMA, and psilocybin be rescheduled by 2026?
14% chance
Will psychedelics be decriminalized by the majority of US states by 2030?
22% chance
In 2030, will more than 30 million people in the US aged 18+ have tried ecstasy (MDMA/molly) in their lifetimes?
58% chance
Will methoxetamine (MXE) be widely available again on darknets (or any site) by EOY 2025?
38% chance
Will California decriminalize and/or legalize MDMA before 2027?
30% chance
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
70% chance