
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
105
9.5kṀ95k2031
0.7%
2024
65%
2025
19%
2026
5%
2027
3%
2028
2%
2029
2%
2030
3%
Other
Condition for resolving this market:
At least 10000 commercial rides have happened
Tesla's robotaxi is available to the general public in the US. So not behind a waitlist.
The robotaxis are fully driverless and FSD.
The type of car doesn’t matter nor if it has a steering wheel. Just needs to be self driving without any humans in the chain.
Rides should happen from a ride hailing service.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?
12% chance
When will Tesla bots be commercially available?
Will Tesla have robots for sale by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Tesla Robotaxi Service at-fault accident or non-fully-autonomous by 2026?
82% chance
Will the Tesla Bot be available by 2028?
34% chance
Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
Who will have the highest number of robotaxis by 2029?